21+ and present in eligible US states. New customers only. Offer terms apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
The largest CFTC-regulated prediction market in the US, where you trade Yes/No contracts on sports, the economy, politics and more. Here’s how it really works, what it costs, and where it’s legal.
Kalshi is the largest federally regulated prediction market in the United States – a CFTC-licensed exchange where you buy and sell Yes/No contracts on real-world outcomes, from who wins the Super Bowl to the next Federal Reserve rate decision. This Kalshi review walks through how the platform works, the markets it covers, the fees that actually apply, the official bonus (not the affiliate promo codes you’ll see plastered everywhere), its app ratings, and exactly which states can trade in 2026.
Kalshi is the most complete legal prediction market in the US: the widest market menu, a real exchange order book, the ability to sell out before an event ends, and access in states where sportsbooks can’t operate. The trade-offs are trading fees that bite on 50/50 markets, an app that trails the desktop site, and a state-legality picture that’s shifting fast. It does not offer horse racing.
Kalshi is a prediction market exchange, not a sportsbook. Founded in 2018, it became the first platform to win designation as a CFTC-regulated designated contract market (DCM) in November 2020 and launched to the public in July 2021. By 2026 it was valued at roughly $22 billion after its latest funding round, reports 10 million-plus users, and – by its own activity data – sees the large majority of its volume on sports.
The core idea: every market is a binary question with a Yes and a No contract. You buy the side you believe in at a price between $0.01 and $0.99, and that price is the market’s implied probability. If you’re right, each contract settles at $1; if you’re wrong, it’s worth $0. Because it’s an exchange, you’re trading against other users – not against a house line – and you can sell your position back to the market at any time before the event resolves.
The product has kept widening. Kalshi now offers custom combos, has added perpetual futures (“perps”) for approved traders, and accepts users from many countries outside the US under its Member Agreement. The app is published by KalshiEX LLC, the CFTC-designated exchange entity.
This is where most “Kalshi review” pages mislead you. The “$10 / $15 / $20 with code XYZ” offers are media-affiliate referral links, not a standing Kalshi promotion – the number changes depending on whose link you clicked. Here’s what Kalshi actually runs, straight from its own help center:
| Cost | What to know |
|---|---|
| Trading fees | Charged per trade and highest on contracts priced near $0.50 (the most contested markets); lopsided markets cost less. Taker fee = 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 – price), rounded up – about 2¢ per contract at most. Limit orders that rest on the book (maker) pay a quarter of that rate. |
| Debit card / Apple Pay / Google Pay | Up to 2% fee on card deposits; no fee to withdraw to a debit card |
| Bank transfer (ACH) | No fee – the cheapest way to fund |
| Wire | No Kalshi fee (your bank may charge one) |
| PayPal / Venmo | Supported; Venmo withdrawals are free, and other alternate methods may cost 0–2% |
| Crypto | Supported via a third-party processor, whose fees are shown before you confirm |
| Withdrawal speed | Debit is usually the fastest route; ACH typically takes a few business days. Withdrawals generally go back to a method in your own name. |
Referral and promotional credits can carry their own deadlines and withdrawal restrictions – often the credit itself isn’t withdrawable, only the profits you make trading with it. Always read the terms in your Rewards section before relying on a figure you saw on an affiliate page.
Kalshi doesn’t use a traditional promo code – there’s no deposit-match code to type in at sign-up. The table below sums up the official new-customer terms as they stand. Any “$10–$20 with code” you see elsewhere is an affiliate referral link, not a Kalshi offer.
| Kalshi Promo Code | October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Promo code | No code required |
| New-customer offer | Referral credit – amount shown in-app |
| Referral code window | Within 72 hours of creating your account |
| Cash interest | 3.50% APY on balances of $250+ (variable) |
| Minimum deposit | $10 by card · ACH free · debit up to 2% |
| Bonus terms | Credits may expire and can carry withdrawal restrictions; trading profits are withdrawable |
| Verified | October 2026 |
If you searched for a “Kalshi bonus code”, this is what you’re really looking for. Every Kalshi user has a referral code, and the platform’s refer-a-friend program is the closest thing it has to a sign-up bonus. The rules come from Kalshi’s own referral FAQ:
The headline figures on affiliate pages – anything from $10 to “up to $1,000” for referrers – change with each campaign. The only number that counts is the one shown in your own Rewards tab.
Kalshi’s fee formula is published in its fee schedule (updated July 2026). It scales with how uncertain the market is, so a coin-flip contract costs the most and a near-certainty costs almost nothing.
| Trade (100 contracts) | Taker fee | Maker fee |
|---|---|---|
| Bought at $0.50 | $1.75 | $0.44 |
| Bought at $0.70 | $1.47 | $0.37 |
| Bought at $0.90 | $0.63 | $0.16 |
Two practical takeaways. First, if you’re patient, a resting limit order at your chosen price cuts the fee to a quarter of the taker rate. Second, fees apply when an order fills, not when you cancel one – so placing and pulling limit orders costs nothing. Combo contracts follow their own multipliers, which you’ll see on the order ticket.
Kalshi takes more funding routes than most rivals: ACH bank transfer, wire, Visa, Mastercard and Discover debit cards, Apple Pay, Google Pay, PayPal, Venmo and crypto through a third-party processor. American Express isn’t accepted, and the cardholder name must match your Kalshi account.
Kalshi’s range is the widest of any regulated prediction market. Sports drive most of the volume, but the platform spans 10+ categories:
If you’ve used a brokerage app, Kalshi will feel familiar. You select a market, choose Yes or No, and enter the number of contracts and the price you’re willing to pay. Both market orders (fill now at the going price) and limit orders (set your price and wait) are available, and the order book shows how much depth sits at each price – useful for judging whether a market is liquid before you commit.
The defining feature versus a sportsbook bet is the exit: your position isn’t locked until settlement. If your team jumps out to a lead and your Yes contract climbs from $0.62 to $0.78, you can sell and bank the gain without waiting for the final whistle – or cut a loss early if the market turns against you.
Kalshi argues it’s legal nationwide because it’s regulated federally by the CFTC rather than by state gaming boards. But that “legal everywhere” framing is contested: through 2025–2026 a growing list of state regulators and tribes have moved specifically against sports event contracts, and by autumn 2026 the courts had split.
| Status (October 2026) | States | What happened |
|---|---|---|
| Sports contracts blocked | Massachusetts, Michigan, Nevada, Washington | Massachusetts injunction (January 2026); Michigan state-court order (September 2026); Ninth Circuit ruling for Nevada (August 28, 2026) covering sports, election and entertainment contracts; Washington injunction ordering Kalshi to halt most event contracts |
| At risk | Ohio, Tennessee, Utah | Sixth Circuit sided with Ohio on September 25, 2026 (Kalshi seeks rehearing); Tennessee injunction vacated; Utah sued Kalshi on October 20, 2026 |
| Contested but live | Arizona, California, Connecticut, Illinois, Maryland, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, Wisconsin | Lawsuits, enforcement actions or appeals pending; New Jersey is protected by an April 2026 Third Circuit ruling that the state has asked the Supreme Court to review |
| Available | The remaining states and DC | No major state action against sports contracts |
At the federal level, the fight is moving up the ladder. The CFTC says it has exclusive jurisdiction over exchange-traded event contracts and has sued several states, while its June 2026 proposed rule would keep most sports markets but let it bar manipulation-prone ones (player injuries, officiating, single plays). Petitions from New Jersey and Robinhood are waiting at the Supreme Court.
Yes – these are three of the biggest reasons Kalshi exists as a sports product. None of them has legal statewide online sportsbooks, yet Kalshi’s sports contracts are live in all three as of October 2026. Texas faces no major state action; California is listed as contested because tribes have challenged sports contracts, and a federal appeals court has blocked them on two tribal lands; Florida is open.
New York, Illinois and New Jersey are also live but contested, so residents there should check the app’s market list before depositing.
No – and you won’t be able to anytime soon. Kalshi has never offered Kentucky Derby or any pari-mutuel horse racing contracts. Racing sits under the Interstate Horseracing Act, which gives track operators like Churchill Downs consent rights over wagering on their races – leverage that kept even Polymarket’s brief 2026 Derby market from surviving (it refunded every trade and pulled it). It’s the one major sport prediction markets can’t touch.
You’ll need a licensed advance-deposit (ADW) racebook, not a prediction market. Compare the welcome offers and track coverage on the apps that actually take racing bets before Derby day.
Kalshi runs its own native apps (no parent-app rating to untangle here), and both score well. The iPhone app, “Kalshi: Trade Events & Sports”, rates 4.8★ on the US App Store from more than 500,000 ratings (October 2026) and is rated 18+.
What users praise: a clean, market-first interface; genuinely fast withdrawals; the order-book view that most sports-focused rivals don’t offer; helpful onboarding/education; and the interest paid on idle cash.
What draws complaints: the app missing some functionality available on desktop; thin liquidity and slippage on niche markets; trading fees that feel steep on near-50/50 contracts; occasional freezes or order-confirmation errors during high-traffic moments like NFL games; and support that can loop through AI responses before a human replies. We’ve reflected those themes honestly rather than scrubbing them.
| Kalshi | Polymarket US | Robinhood | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Welcome offer | Referral credit (in-app) | Deposit $10, get $25 credit | None for predictions |
| Promo code | Not required | Not required | None |
| Fee at 50¢ (100 contracts) | $1.75 taker | $1.74 taker | $1.00 commission + exchange fee |
| Funding | Bank, card, PayPal, Venmo, crypto | Bank, card, Apple Pay, PayPal, Venmo, USDC | Your Robinhood account |
| Where unavailable | Sports off in MA, MI, NV, WA | Nevada | Maryland; no new sports in NV, MI |
| Interest on cash | 3.50% APY ($250+) | No | Via Robinhood account |
| Order book & limit orders | Yes | Yes | Simplified ticket |
Kalshi wins on breadth and banking options; Polymarket US matches it on price and now runs a cash welcome credit; Robinhood is the easiest door in if you already hold an account there. Sports-first fans should also look at FanDuel Predicts and DraftKings Predictions.
A sportsbook sets the odds and builds its margin into both sides; Kalshi matches you with other traders and charges a visible fee. Sportsbooks win on welcome bonuses, boosts and same-game parlays, and they’re licensed state by state. Kalshi wins on the ability to sell out mid-game, limit orders, and access where sportsbooks aren’t legal. If you live in a legal betting state, it’s worth comparing both – our US sportsbooks hub lists the licensed apps.
Kalshi is the default choice if you want the broadest legal way to put money behind a conviction – sports, macro data, politics or culture – with genuine exchange tools and access in states where sportsbooks don’t operate. It’s less compelling if you only want casual game bets (the fees on 50/50 markets and the app’s gaps will frustrate you), and it’s no use at all for horse racing. For most US prediction-market traders in 2026, it’s the strongest all-rounder.
Offers, codes, fees and state lists are checked against the operators’ own pages and state or federal regulators. Last checked .