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What are the pros and cons of betting favorites in horse racing?

Mike BrunkerMB
Horse Betting Expert · former Las Vegas Review-Journal racing writer
Updated October 2026 · 2 min read   𝕏inRJ
Horse racing journalist and handicapper who covered the Kentucky Derby, Preakness, Belmont and Breeders’ Cup for the Las Vegas Review-Journal.
HORSE BETTING GUIDE · STRATEGY
Reviewed by the Horse.bet Team
Pros and cons of betting favoritesHORSE RACING EXPLAINEDIN SHORTThe biggest pro is that the favorite in thebetting wins more often than any of the otherhorses in a given field – typically aboutone-third of the time, although the rate isGOOD TO KNOWThey also historically finish first or second around 55 percent of thetime and “hit the board” (finish first, second or third) 69 percent ofthe time.horse.bet — betting guides
What are the pros and cons of betting favorites in horse racing? — explained: The biggest pro is that the favorite in the betting wins more often than any of the other horses in a given field – typically about one-third

The biggest pro is that the favorite in the betting wins more often than any of the other horses in a given field – typically about one-third of the time, although the rate is inching higher in the short-field era.

They also historically finish first or second around 55 percent of the time and “hit the board” (finish first, second or third) 69 percent of the time. That’s good if you just want to cash tickets, but not for your long-term profit prospects when you bet on horses online .

The problem is that the favorite’s merits are so obvious that the crowd of bettors slightly overestimates its chances of victory.

The best way to approach favourites, in my view, is to look hard for any weaknesses (wrong distance, not in top form, no recent workouts, etc.) and, if you can’t find any, include them in your betting strategy or pass the race . Try it with Amwager promo code to boost your chances.

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